Lo escribí en otro lado, pero lo copio acá. Perdón que no lo traduzca.
Y bienvenidos a la nueva casa. De a poco la iremos arreglando.
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In my opinion, the electoral debate in Brazil now goes more around how to build a stronger, more effective state first. It costs money. And true: tax burden in Brazil is heavier to consumers than firms. Income concentration follows.
The main reason for such situation is both political and economical: firms are politically better organized and (sometimes directly) represented. The current tax system design allows for reducing production costs (salaries) and increasing benefit (also through prices). Lula hasn't managed to touch it. Things started to change though.
Income redistribution during the last eight years has importantly constributed to empowering part of Brazilian poor and poorly educated society. They cast their votes on Lula's sucessor (an unknown maybe, old-stylish perhaps, but most inteligent and capable lady). Some may alternatively go for the president's once beloved follower/comrade - Marina Silva. These candidates, both of them women, come up with programmes that favour directly a great proportion of the electorate: income redistribution through wages and formal employment. They offer some other interesting things too like easier access to higher education to discriminated groups - including black people.
Serra's talks on state efficency sounds weird to those people who were no better back in the 1990's. Besides, stability seems no longer to be exclusively a Cardoso's / PSDB legacy. Though the medium term prospects may look unsure, positive scenarios are a logical possibility.
Middle class in Brazil is becoming larger and more politically active, in my view. This is why PSDB's status quo discourse doesn't have the same appeal now. Well... Polls are next Sunday. Results may always prove us wrong. And right sometimes.
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